Weather extreme event projections and their impact assessments

Concept description:

Extreme event projections and assess their impacts have been conducted as one of the three teams under the auspices of the Innovative Program of Climate Change Projection for the 21st Century (KAKUSHIN), in collaboration with the Meteorological Research Institute; Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University; the International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management; the National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management; and the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology. This program has been funded by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology-Japan. Under the auspices of our KAKUSHIN Team-3 and DPRI, and in cooperation with the Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources, the KAKUSHIN Team-3 held two open symposia: the first, in November 2009, on Extreme Weather and Impact Assessments for better predictions and assessments, and the second, in September 2011, for contribution to the IPCC AR5. We hope that this special collection contributes to the IPCC AR5 and provides many scientists, engineers, and policy makers with access to the latest projections of future climate and impact assessments. Click here to view the special collection preface.

Special collection coordinators:

Dr. Tosiyuki Nakaegawa, Meteorological Research Institute
Dr. Nobuhito Mori, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University


1 Projection of changes in future weather extremes using super-high-resolution global and regional atmospheric models in the KAKUSHIN Program: Results of preliminary experiments
A. Kitoh, T. Ose, K. Kurihara, S. Kusunoki, M. Sugi and KAKUSHIN Team-3 Modeling Group

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2 Monthly maximum number of consecutive dry days in Japan and its reproducibility by a 5-km-mesh cloud-system resolving regional climate model
Masuo Nakano, Sachie Kanada, Teruyuki Kato and Kazuo Kurihara

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3 Representation of extreme weather during a typhoon landfall in regional meteorological simulations: A model intercomparison study for Typhoon Songda (2004)
Y. Oku, T. Takemi, H. Ishikawa, S. Kanada and M. Nakano

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4 Statistical analysis of simulated direct and indirect precipitation associated with typhoons around Japan using a cloud-system resolving model
M. Nakano, S. Kanada and T. Kato

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5 Changes in mean atmospheric structures around Japan during July due to global warming in regional climate experiments using a cloud-system resolving model
S. Kanada, M. Nakano and T. Kato

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6 Projected regional-scale changes in atmospheric stability condition for the development of summertime convective precipitation in the Tokyo metropolitan area under global warming
T. Takemi

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7 Projection of extreme wave climate change under global warming
N. Mori, T. Yasuda, H. Mase, T. Tom and Y. Oku

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8 Projection of future typhoons landing on Japan based on a stochastic typhoon model utilizing AGCM projections
Tomohiro Yasuda, Hajime Mase and Nobuhito Mori

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9 A preliminary impact assessment of typhoon wind risk of residential buildings in Japan under future climate change
Kazuyoshi Nishijima, T. Maruyama and M. Graf

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10 Simulation of strong wind field by non-hydrostatic mesoscale model and its applicability for wind hazard assessment of buildings and houses
T. Maruyama, E. Tomokiyo and J. Maeda

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11 Reproducibility of regional-mean probable precipitation by high-resolution climate models
T. Kitajima, K. Yoshimatsu, H. Ohno and K. Ishihara

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12 Assessment for the 30-year daily precipitation change due to global warming using regional frequency analysis
K. Ishihara

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13 Quantifying the uncertainty range of 30-year daily precipitation change due to global warming using regional frequency analysis
K. Ishihara

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14 Hydrologic evaluation on the AGCM20 output using observed river discharge data
S. Kim, Y. Tachikawa, E. Nakakita, and K. Takara

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15 First super-high-resolution model projection that the ancient“ Fertile Crescent” will disappear in this century
A. Kitoh, A. Yatagai and P. Alpert

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16 First projection of climatological mean river discharges in the Magdalena River Basin, Colombia, in a changing climate during the 21st century
T. Nakaegawa and W. Vergara

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17 First impact assessment of hydrological cycle in the Tana River Basin, Kenya, under a changing climate in the late 21st century
T. Nakaegawa, W. Calius, and KAKUSHIN Team-3 Modeling Group

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18 Sensitivity analysis on Lake Biwa under the A1B SRES climate change scenario using Biwa-3D integrated assessment model: Part I – projection of lake temperature
Y. Yamashiki, M. Kato, K. Takara, E. Nakakita, M. Kumagai and C. Jiao

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19 Evaluation of nutrient flux from Shiretoko into the ocean using MRI-GCM
Keisuke Nakayama, Aynur Abuliz, Tosiyuki Nakaegawa and Yasuyuki Maruya

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20 Effect of uncertainty in temperature and precipitation inputs and spatial resolution on the crop model
Kenichi Tatsumi, Yosuke Yamashiki and Kaoru Takara

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21 Comment on “Effect of uncertainty in temperature and precipitation inputs and spatial resolution on the crop model” by Kenichi Tatsumi, Yosuke Yamashiki and Kaoru Takara
T. Nakaegawa and E. Nakakita

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22 Reply to the Comments on “Effect of uncertainty in temperature and precipitation inputs and spatial resolution on the crop model” by Kenichi Tatsumi, Yosuke Yamashiki and Kaoru Takara
Yosuke Yamashiki, Kenichi Tatsumi, and Kaoru Takara

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