Special Collection 4
Program for Risk Information on Climate Change (SOUSEI)
Concept description:
The research program for “Program for Risk Information on Climate Change” (so-called SOUSEI Program) has been carried out by Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan. There are four groups in SOUSEI program and two groups, theme “Development of basic technology for risk information on climate change” and theme D “Precise impact assessments on climate change”, are focused on extreme event projections and their impact assessment on Asia and Japan in collaboration with the Meteorological Research Institute; Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University; the International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management; Institute of Industrial Science, the University of Tokyo; Tohoku University; Nagoya University; Hokkaido University and related universities and agencies. The topic covers from climate projection in the global scale, regional downscaling to impact assessment on typhoon, precipitation, river and coastal flooding, storm surge and waves, water resources, ecosystem, biodiversity and their risk assessment. This special collection is summary of collaborative research and we hope that this special collection contributes to the IPCC AR6 and provides many scientists, engineers, and policy makers with access to the latest projections of future climate and impact assessments. Click here to view the special collection preface.
Special collection coordinators:
Nobuhito Mori1, Akio Kito2 and Tosiyuki Nakaegawa3
1 Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Japan
2 Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Japan
3 Meteorological Research Institute, Japan
1 Assessing the impacts of global warming on meteorological hazards and risks in Japan: Philosophy and achievements of the SOUSEI program
T. Takemi, Y. Okada, R. Ito, H. Ishikawa and E. Nakakita
2 Robustness and uncertainty of projected changes in the impacts of Typhoon Vera (1959) under global warming
T. Takemi, R. Ito and O. Arakawa
3 Effects of global warming on the impacts of Typhoon Mireille (1991) in the Kyushu and Tohoku regions
T. Takemi, R. Ito and O. Arakawa
4 Estimating regional climate change uncertainty in Japan at the end of the 21st century with mixture distribution
S. Wakamatsu, K. Oshio, K. Ishihara, H. Murai, T. Nakashima and T. Inoue
5 Regional probabilistic climate projection for Japan with a regression model using multi-model ensemble experiments
N. N. Ishizaki, K. Dairaku and G. Ueno
6 Effect of high-resolution SST on East Asian summer monsoon and tropical cyclone activity in a 60-km AGCM
T. Ogata, R. Mizuta and K. Yoshida
7 Reduction in the east–west contrast in water budget over the Tibetan Plateau under a future climate
A. Kitoh and O. Arakawa
8 Identifying climate analogues for cities in Australia by a non-parametric approach using multi-ensemble, high-horizontalresolution future climate projections by an atmospheric general circulation model, MRI-AGCM3.2H
T. Nakaegawa, K. Hibino and I. Takayabu
9 Identification of key factors in future changes in precipitation extremes over Japan using ensemble simulations
A. Murata, H. Sasaki, H. Kawase and M. Nosaka
10 Future changes in extreme precipitation intensities associated with temperature under SRES A1B scenario
S. Nayak and K. Dairaku
11 Extreme precipitation intensity in future climates associated with the Clausius-Clapeyron-like relationship
T. J. Yamada, M. A. Farukh, T. Fukushima, M. Inatsu, T. Sato, Y. N. Pokhrel and T. Oki
12 Statistical Downscaling of AGCM60km Precipitation based on Spatial Correlation of AGCM20km Output
S. Kim, Y. Tachikawa and E. Nakakita
13 Estimating probability of extreme rainfall over Japan using Extended Regional Frequency Analysis
M. Sugi, Y. Imada, T. Nakaegawa and K. Kamiguchi
14 Comparative study on climate change impact on precipitation and floods in Asian river basins
Y. Iwami, A. Hasegawa, M. Miyamoto, S. Kudo, Y. Yamazaki, T. Ushiyama and T. Koike
15 A new approach to flood risk assessment in Asia-Pacific region based on MRI-AGCM outputs
Y. Kwak, K. Takeuchi, K. Fukami and J. Magome
16 Dynamic downscaling and bias correction of rainfall in the Pampanga River Basin, Philippines, for investigating flood risk changes due to global warming
T. Ushiyama, A. Hasegawa, M. Miyamoto and Y. Iwami
17 Future projection of mean river discharge climatology for the Chao Phraya River basin
A. Champathong, D. Komori, M. Kiguchi, T. Sukhapunnaphan, T. Oki and T. Nakaegawa
18 Hydrological impact of regional climate change in the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand
S. Kure and T. Tebakari
19 Application of performance metrics to climate models for projecting future river discharge in the Chao Phraya River basin
S. Watanabe, Y. Hirabayashi, S. Kotsuki, N. Hanasaki, K. Tanaka, C. M. R. Mateo, M. Kiguchi, E. Ikoma, S. Kanae and T. Oki
20 River discharge assessment under a changing climate in the Chao Phraya River, Thailand by using MRI-AGCM3.2S
S. Wichakul, Y. Tachikawa, M. Shiiba and K. Yorozu
21 Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the late 21st Century
J. Fábrega, T. Nakaegawa, R. Pinzón, K. Nakayama, O. Arakawa and SOUSEI Theme-C Modeling Group
22 Impact assessment of climate change on coastal hazards in Japan
N. Mori, M. Kjerland, S. Nakajo, Y. Shibutani and T. Shimura
23 Statistical modeling of global mean wave height considering principal component analysis of sea level pressures and its application to future wave height projection
R. Kishimoto, T. Shimura, N. Mori and H. Mase
24 Nationwide assessment of the impact of climate change on agricultural water resources in Japan using multiple emission scenarios in CMIP5
R. Kudo, T. Yoshida and T. Masumoto
25 Projection of impacts of climate change on windthrows and evaluation of potential adaptation measures in forest management: A case study from empirical modelling of windthrows in Hokkaido, Japan, by Typhoon Songda (2004)
K. T. Takano, K. Nakagawa, M. Aiba, M. Oguro, J. Morimoto, Y. Furukawa, Y. Mishima, K. Ogawa, R. Ito and T. Takemi
(The articles below are published after the printed version of this special collections.)
26 Virtually experiencing future climate changes in Central America with MRI-AGCM: climate analogues study
R. E. Pinzón, K. Hibino, I. Takayabu and T. Nakaegawa
27 Bias correction of simulated storm surge height considering coastline complexity
J.-A Yang, S. Kim, N. Mori, and H. Mase
28 Future precipitation changes during summer in East Asia and model dependence in high-resolution MRI-AGCM experiments
T. Ose